This website hosts material circulated earlier to a restricted number of selected Parliamentary, industrial and City figures, together with other interested parties.

The list of those with "first look" is by invitation, with numbers kept low so that enquiries get immediate replies.

Please click the button below for my view of the position after May committed herself to resignation.

Outcome of euro-elections

Here is the outcome compared to my predictions. I was dead right about Labour and the LibDems, missed the Green surge, and a tad too bullish about Brexit insurgence and Tory resilience. 

(Figures are the actual number of seats for Great Britain at 1.30pm on Monday and projections for NI.)


What does it mean? 

The table below (which excludes Northern Ireland) shows that Remainers can point out that the the hard Remain vote exceeds the hard Leave vote. On the other hand, if we take it that those voting Tory and Labour can live with the "soft Leave" policy of their parties' leaders, then the overall leave vote prevails. Truth to tell, you can choose your own conclusions from a turnout of 37%, the day before the Prime Minister resigned.